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World markets: why they matter and how they changed

Each market serves its own purpose in the global economy. Knowing who trades it and why makes it easier to understand why the price moves.

The scale of markets

Estimated value of global markets, $ trillion. For forex — daily turnover: it exceeds Germany’s annual GDP.

  • Bonds140 $ tn
  • Stocks115 $ tn
  • Gold (all ever mined)18 $ tn
  • Forex — turnover in 1 day7.5 $ tn
  • Crypto3.3 $ tn

Estimates as of end-2024: SIFMA, World Federation of Exchanges, World Gold Council, BIS Triennial Survey 2022, CoinGecko. Rounded.

Why each market matters

Forex

The bloodstream of world trade

Companies pay for imports, tourists exchange money, central banks manage reserves. Exchange rates reflect interest rate differentials and the state of economies.

What drives the price

  • Central bank rates
  • Inflation
  • Trade balance

About 88% of all currency trades involve the US dollar.

Metals

Protection from inflation and crises

Gold has been a store of value for millennia. Central banks hold it in reserves, and investors buy it when uncertainty rises.

What drives the price

  • Real interest rates
  • The dollar
  • Central bank buying

All the gold ever mined — about 216,000 tonnes — would fit into a cube with sides of roughly 22 metres.

Energy

The fuel of the economy

Oil and gas determine the cost of transport, production and heating. Prices react to OPEC+ decisions, inventories and geopolitics.

What drives the price

  • OPEC+ decisions
  • Inventories
  • Global demand

In April 2020 the WTI oil future traded below zero for the first time in history — around −$37 a barrel.

Indices

The economy’s thermometer

An index is a basket of the largest companies. The S&P 500 covers about 80% of US stock market value and is seen as the main economic barometer.

What drives the price

  • Corporate earnings
  • Rates
  • Growth expectations

The S&P 500 was launched in 1957; from 2000 to 2024 it more than quadrupled.

US stocks

Capital for business

Buying a share makes you a co-owner of the company. The price reflects expected future profits, which is why quarterly reports matter so much.

What drives the price

  • Quarterly reports
  • Company guidance
  • Industry news

The world’s first shares were issued by the Dutch East India Company in 1602.

Crypto

New digital assets

Bitcoin was conceived as money without intermediaries. Today crypto is a separate asset class with high volatility and round-the-clock trading.

What drives the price

  • ETF inflows
  • Regulation
  • Risk appetite

In January 2024 the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds began trading in the US.

25 years of markets on one chart

Hover over the chart to see yearly values. In Compare mode — what $1,000 would have become.

2,0004,0006,000200020032006200920122015201820212024
Start (2000)
1,320
End (2024)
5,882
Change
+346%
Average per year
+6.4%
Best year (2013)
+30%
Max drawdown
-38%

Year-end values (Brent oil — annual average), rounded. Reference data; past performance does not guarantee future results.

Who rules forex

Shares of currencies in global turnover. Each trade involves two currencies, so the total is 200%.

200%
  • USD · US dollar88%
  • EUR · Euro31%
  • JPY · Japanese yen17%
  • GBP · British pound13%
  • CNY · Chinese yuan7%
  • AUD · Australian dollar6%
  • CAD · Canadian dollar6%
  • CHF · Swiss franc5%

Source: Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Triennial Central Bank Survey, 2022.

Historical milestones

Events that shaped modern financial markets.

  1. 1602

    The first shares

    The Dutch East India Company issues shares and the first stock exchange appears in Amsterdam.

  2. 1792

    Birth of the NYSE

    The Buttonwood Agreement of 24 brokers on Wall Street marks the start of the New York Stock Exchange.

  3. 1929

    The Great Depression

    The US stock market crash opens the deepest economic crisis of the 20th century.

  4. 1944

    Bretton Woods

    The dollar is pegged to gold at $35 an ounce, other currencies to the dollar.

  5. 1960

    OPEC is founded

    Oil-exporting countries unite to influence world prices.

  6. 1971

    End of the gold standard

    The US stops exchanging dollars for gold. Rates start to float — modern forex is born.

  7. 1987

    Black Monday

    The Dow Jones loses 22.6% in a single day — the largest one-day fall in history.

  8. 1999

    The euro arrives

    Eleven European countries adopt a common currency; EUR/USD becomes the most traded pair.

  9. 2000

    The dot-com bubble

    The Nasdaq loses almost 80% over two and a half years after the internet boom.

  10. 2008

    Global financial crisis

    Lehman Brothers collapses; central banks cut rates almost to zero.

  11. 2009

    The first bitcoin

    Satoshi Nakamoto launches the bitcoin network — the history of crypto begins.

  12. 2020

    The pandemic

    The fastest market crash in history and an equally fast recovery. WTI oil briefly drops below zero.

  13. 2024

    Bitcoin ETFs and record gold

    Spot bitcoin funds launch in the US and gold sets all-time highs.

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